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A... vicious effect of... hindsight bias is that those that are good at predicting the past... think of themselves as good at predicting the future... [W]e live in a world where important events are not predictable...

— Nassim Nicholas Taleb Fooled by Randomness (2001)

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Source: Three: A Mathematical Meditation on History | Fun in My Attic | Skills in Predicting Past History
Work: Fooled by Randomness, 2001
Source quality: Source identified Names the work or year, but without an exact location.

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Quote text and notes from Wikiquote: Nassim Nicholas Taleb (page history), available under CC BY-SA 4.0. Source quality and labels are our own summary of what Wikiquote records.