There is no effective difference between guessing a variable that is not random, but for which information is partial or deficient (...), and a random one (...). In this sense, guessing (what I don't know, but what someone else may know) and predicting (what has not taken place yet) are the same thing.

— Nassim Nicholas Taleb The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (2007)

More quotes by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms (2010)

The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms (2010)

The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms (2010)

The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms (2010)

The Bed of Procrustes: Philosophical and Practical Aphorisms (2010)

Quote text and notes from Wikiquote: Nassim Nicholas Taleb (page history), available under CC BY-SA 4.0. Source quality and labels are our own summary of what Wikiquote records.